Why DDHQ hasn’t called the Pennsylvania Senate race

The Pennsylvania Senate race remains the last major contest of the 2024 cycle that Decision Desk HQ has not called.

Three-term incumbent Sen. Bob Casey (D) currently trails Republican Dave McCormick by about 35,000 votes, or 0.5 percent of the vote, just within the threshold required for an automatic statewide recount. But while McCormick has declared victory and The Associated Press has projected him as the winner, Casey hasn’t yet conceded and The Hill’s partner DDHQ and other networks have not issued a race call.

“We haven’t projected a winner in the Pennsylvania Senate election for the very simple reason that it doesn’t meet our stringent 99.5% or greater level of certainty before we can make a projection,” said........

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