Momentum has slightly shifted to Vice President Harris ahead of Election Day in her matchup against former President Trump, according to several major election analysts, but she’ll need a strong showing in key states to get to 270 electoral votes.
The conclusion from all of the major analysts emphasizes just how close the race is and that either side could pull off a win, but Harris’s prospects have seemed to tick up a little bit in the final days of the campaign.
The forecast model from Decision Desk HQ, which partners with The Hill, has been among the more stable in terms of determining each candidate’s probability of winning. The model gives Trump a 54 percent chance of winning as of Tuesday afternoon.
Harris had been the favorite in the DDHQ model throughout most of her campaign until Trump became slightly more favored in mid-October.
Other election models name Harris the favorite, although the difference between any of them is only marginal at most.
The vice president took back the smallest of leads in the final forecast model from FiveThirtyEight after weeks of being the slight underdog. She is projected to have a 50 out of 100 chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49 out of 100 chance.
She has remained favored to win the popular vote by at least 2 points........