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COVID-19 : why infection rates among double-vaccinated older adults look worse than they are

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Recently, ITV journalist Robert Peston caught COVID, despite being double vaccinated. This set Peston wondering how common it is for the fully vaccinated to get the disease. His analysis is now complete.

The headline is fairly alarming: “Data shows infections high among double vaxxed for those aged 40 to 79.” Although, perhaps not as alarming as the Daily Express: “Peston lifts lid on Covid horror as infections spike in double-vaxxed 40 to 79-year-olds.”

So has Peston lifted a lid on COVID horror? Let’s take a closer look at those figures.

Peston’s conclusions are based on newly published data from Public Health England which shows us how many of the new COVID cases, emergency hospital admissions and deaths during the four weeks up to September 5 were among unvaccinated, partially vaccinated, or fully vaccinated people. These numbers give us the first clear indication of how effective COVID vaccines are at protecting people from getting COVID or from suffering serious ill health in those unlucky enough to catch the bug.

On the face of it, the case numbers appear concerning. Of the 554,896 new COVID cases recorded in adults over this period, over half........

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