With the Victorian state election in late November, two polls have Labor sinking to third on primary votes, behind One Nation and the Coalition. Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s net approval is below -35 in both polls.

A federal Resolve poll agrees with other polls in having One Nation leading on primary votes. A three-way preferred PM question has Pauline Hanson leading.

Preference flows from the May 9 Farrer byelection have been released. A large portion of Liberal and National voters bucked the how to vote cards that had One Nation preferred over independent Michelle Milthorpe.

Labor in third in two Victorian polls

The Victorian state election is in late November. A Freshwater poll, conducted June 5–8 from a sample of 1,034, gave the Coalition 27% of the primary vote (down three since the late March Freshwater poll), One Nation 25% (up five), Labor 23% (down four), the Greens 14% (steady) and all Others 11% (up two).

Although Labor is third on primary votes, they would easily pass One Nation and the Coalition on Greens preferences. The Coalition led Labor by 53–47 after preferences, a one-point gain for the Coalition.

Allan’s net approval dropped five points to a dire -37. Liberal leader Jess Wilson was down three points to 15. Wilson led Allan as preferred premier by a blowout 49–25 (47–31 previously). On Allan, 62% (up four) wanted her replaced as Labor leader, with Labor voters opposed by 53–39.

A Victorian DemosAU and Premier National poll, conducted June 7–11 from a sample of 1,056, gave the Coalition 30% of the primary vote (up one since the February DemosAU poll), One Nation 23% (up two), Labor 21% (down two),........

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