SA Newspoll shows Liberal wipeout likely; Victorian Morgan poll puts One Nation first on primaries |
A South Australian Newspoll has given the Liberals just 14% of the primary vote, four weeks before the state election.
And in a Victoria Morgan poll, One Nation has topped both Labor and the Coalition on primary votes, with 26.5%, compared to 25.5% for Labor and 21.5% for the Coalition. Labor leads both One Nation and the Coalition after preferences in the poll.
A separate Victoria Resolve poll has One Nation at only 11%.
South Australian election polls
The SA state election is on March 21. A Newspoll, conducted February 11–17 from a sample of 1,057 people, gave Labor 44% of the primary vote, One Nation 24%, the Liberals just 14%, the Greens 12% and all others 6%.
With One Nation second on primary votes, no Labor vs Liberal two-party estimate was provided.
After the previous SA Fox & Hedgehog poll that had primary votes of 40% Labor, 20% One Nation and 19% Liberals, I said there was some chance of the Liberals winning zero of 47 lower house seats.
If the Newspoll figures are correct, it’s likely the Liberals will be wiped out of the SA lower house at the election, with One Nation winning the very few conservative seats.
Labor Premier Peter Malinauskas had a 40 net approval rating, with 67% of respondents satisfied with his job performance and 27% dissatisfied. Liberal leader Ashton Hurn was at 4 net approval (39% satisfied, 35% dissatisfied). Malinauskas led Hurn as better premier by 67–19%.
A SA YouGov poll for The Advertiser, conducted February 6–17 from a sample of 1,217 people, gave Labor 37% of the primary vote, One Nation 22%, the Liberals 20%, the Greens 13% and all others 8%.
On respondent preferences, Labor led One Nation by 60–40% and the Liberals by 59–41%.
Malinauskas’ net approval was 36........