One Nation surges in two polls taken after Secret Harbour byelection |
The federal YouGov and Morgan polls are the first that were entirely taken after One Nation thumped Labor at the August 29 Western Australian state Secret Harbour byelection.
In YouGov, One Nation’s primary vote jumped four points to 30% and Labor’s dropped three points to 26%. One Nation’s four-point primary vote lead is its best in this poll. In Morgan, One Nation’s primary vote was up three points, but Labor still led on primary votes by 0.5 points.
The combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition was up one point in YouGov to 48% and up four points in Morgan to 48%. The previous week’s Morgan poll had disagreed with other polls at the time in having the total right vote relatively low.
DemosAU has state polls from Queensland and South Australia. The Liberal National Party has a big lead in Queensland and Labor has a big lead in SA.
At Sunday’s German Saxony-Anhalt state election, the far-right AfD won 43.8% of the vote but missed out on a majority of seats, winning 39 of 83 seats.
A national YouGov poll for News24 (formerly Sky News), conducted September 1–8 from a sample of 1,510, gave One Nation 30% of the primary vote (up four since the late August YouGov poll), Labor 26% (down three), the Coalition 18% (down three), the Greens 12% (steady), independents 7% (up two) and others 7% (steady).
This is One Nation’s equal best primary vote in this poll, matching a late June peak. It’s Labor’s equal worst,........