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Don Paul: The heat’s not done with Western New York yet

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11.08.2021

Lilly Grunzweig, 9, enjoys the shower at the Lincoln Pool, Wednesday, Aug. 4, 2021.

As I’d mentioned on WIVB Tuesday evening, Lake Erie’s warmth (now up to 75 degrees at Buffalo, which is 2 degrees above average) would provide additional fuel for disturbances passing across the region, and Wednesday morning’s severe weather demonstrated my point.

A gust to 62 mph was measured at the Dunkirk Lighthouse shortly after 6 a.m., and around 6:30 a.m. a roof was blown off a house 4 miles northeast of Angola on the Lake, along with scattered tree damage reports from Alden, Gowanda and a 61-mph gust 3 miles south of Buffalo at the harbor.

A heat advisory will finish up Wednesday evening across Western New York but there is no magical relief which arrives upon expiration.

Currently, 32 states have heat advisories or warnings posted as dangerous temperatures expand across the US. CNN Meteorologist Pedram Javaheri has the forecast.

Rest assured, it will still be hot and humid into Friday, when a cold front will finally push the excess heat and humidity off to the east.

Between now and then, there will be a continuing marginal risk of a few rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds the primary threat should severe storms reappear later today and overnight. Since last night’s models did not resolve the convective system which struck early today well at all, it gives me pause to overly rely on models for storm timing and placement. In the meantime, the Storm Prediction Center has our region at marginal risk today and this evening, with a much more significant risk off to our west in the enhanced area.

As for the models, I’ll give you an idea of........

© The Buffalo News


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