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Hopes of thumping win turn into Trumpian nightmare

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Well, who saw that coming? Perhaps only those who remembered the lessons of Donald Trump.

Early in the night all the exit polls seemed to indicate a thumping Labor win, by at least 10 seats. There were perhaps one or two champagne corks popping here and there among ALP folk.

Labor leader Bill Shorten has arrived at the Labor Party HQ with his wife, Chloe Shorten. Credit:ninevms

But those who remembered the 2016 US presidential election urged caution. For, hang on, wasn’t this also exactly the way it was with Trump’s election in 2016?

Didn’t the exit polls there also favour Hillary Clinton at this time of the night only for the actual election results to go the other way and ... ?

And HANG ON, that is what is happening before our very eyes! Seat after seat seemed to be heading to the Libs and Nats, particularly in Queensland and Tassie, despite the exit polls, despite the whole “vibe”, despite the fact that the bookies, who were meant to know everything, had the LNP at 7-1 against holding on to government when the polls closed!

As the night went on, it was all but confirmed. By close of play it was almost certain that Scott Morrison had held on against extraordinary odds. All the polls were dead wrong.

The explanation? The best guess, surely, is some Trumpian dynamic whereby, in the privacy of the ballot box, enough people were voting in a way that they weren’t saying publicly before the poll, that the results were skewed away from all expectations.

And the other explanation of course, is that all those intent on turning on the Liberals just happened to be living in the seat of Warringah, where former sitting prime........

© The Age