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Second referendum policy is likely to make Labour’s ‘Manifesto of Hope’ end in tears

9 6 0
25.11.2019

It’s been called ‘A Manifesto of Hope’ and billed as the most radical programme for government put forward by an opposition party for decades. There are certainly some excellent policies contained in the document (particularly in relation to public ownership and lowering the cost of living), and one can understand why activists are so enthusiastic about it.

Unfortunately though, Labour’s commitment to hold a second Brexit referendum with Remain as one of the two options, means that the likeliest outcome is that the election campaign will end not in hope, but in despair for supporters of Jeremy Corbyn.

That’s because detailed academic research shows that the path to any Labour election victory lies through the party gaining pro-Leave Tory marginals in England and Wales – as well as holding on to pro-Leave seats it narrowly won in 2017.

The key stat is that 78 percent of Labour’s 45 target seats in England and Wales voted Leave in 2016, many of them quite strongly. “Winning these seats is a sine qua non for the formation of a Labour government.. If Labour cannot gain Conservative seats in England and Wales, then it cannot govern, even as a minority,” says Dr Richard Johnson, of Lancaster University.

Labour is banking that popular policies in their manifesto on bringing rail, water and the Royal Mail back into public ownership, maintaining free TV licenses for the........

© RT.com