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Why Wales will split from the UK or simply not exist by 2030, according to one of the country’s leading independence figures

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“I’m not trying to scare people. In 10 years’ time, we’ll either be part of England or independent.” Those are the straight-talking words of Siôn Jobbins.

Both in Britain and further afield, the biggest threat to the future of the UK is perceived to be Scotland’s bid for independence. But in Wales, YesCymru has witnessed a 900 percent rise in membership over the past year alone. The umbrella group has two key goals: for Wales to have an independent constitution, and for it obtain international recognition, via a seat at the United Nations.

While most of the coverage of independence movements focuses on the legal aspects, in Wales, there is a powerful cultural argument for the country to go it alone: the country has its own language, which is spoken by 28.5 percent of the population.

But in an ironic twist, Jobbins claims efforts to keep it alive have, in some ways, stunted the argument for becoming a standalone nation. Over hundreds of years, pride in the language has promoted a feeling of identity that has taken precedence over what passport Welsh people should use.

He said, “The sort of people who you would say were independence supporters traditionally pushed for the Welsh language and cultural things – not the constitutional argument.

“For many, strengthening the language was more important than independence. There is the example of Ireland, which some see as a mistake. They went independent, but didn’t revive their language. So, that was the main driver: ‘we haven’t been independent for 400 years, so we need to focus on our culture’.”

That was also the case with the main political independence party, Plaid Cymru. Jobbins explained: “Since 1970, Plaid Cymru had an issue with the word independence. It felt no one is really independent: all countries are inter-dependent. It’s about the state not being all powerful. That went way back to times under the Pope, when no one was really sovereign.”

But despite this complicated history and differing opinions over what independence really means, things are changing. Typically, older........

© RT.com

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