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Has the Pandemic Finally Peaked in the U.S.?

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Ronald Bailey | 9.23.2021 2:30 PM

The latest Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data suggest that America's summer COVID-19 surge may have peaked. Back in late June, the seven-day average of cases stood at just 12,000, but this ramped up more than 12-fold to 160,000 by early September. The seven-day average is just under 130,000 now.

COVID-19 deaths lag cases by about a month. The seven-day average for deaths dropped to 175 by July 6. Since then, the seven-day average for deaths has risen to more than 2,000 and has not yet begun to fall. (For reference, the seven-day average for cases in the U.S. peaked during the winter surge in early January at around 260,000, and deaths peaked at around 3,300 later that month.)

Will COVID-19 cases and deaths surge again this winter? The combined just-released results of 9 models........

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