New Poll Shows PA Voters’ Balance on ICE, Immigration

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The latest joint polling effort between RealClear Opinion Research and Emerson Polling explores attitudes toward immigration and immigration reform in Pennsylvania. Immigration is figuring as a critical issue in the midterm elections and is likely to loom as a top concern in 2028. Understanding attitudes in a critical battleground like the Keystone State is crucial for discerning how those elections are shaping up.

For this piece, we’ll confine ourselves to the toplines. A subsequent piece will explore the crosstabs. However, to put this up front: The crosstabs do reveal what appears to be a pretty good sample. Those who recall voting in the 2024 presidential election report having voted for Kamala Harris by 1 point. Readers might want to mentally move the results a point or two in a conservative direction to correct for this, but note that all of these results have error margins, and the Harris-Trump result is within the error margin of the actual result.

This sample is overall well informed,........

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