Why Iran’s Escalation Strategy Is Likely to Backfire

ABU DHABI – Wars are fought not only on battlefields but also on the field of cost calculations and public perceptions. A belligerent may accept the risk of escalating a conflict in the hope of winning concessions or a quick ceasefire. This seems to be the Iranian regime’s strategy in the current war with the United States, Israel, and the wider region. By widening the scope of the fighting and threatening the Gulf states’ economic lifelines, it wants to raise the perceived price of continuing the war.


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