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Global growth in 2026 will be led overwhelmingly by Asia

30 5
15.02.2026

China and India are set to account for more than 40 per cent of global GDP growth in 2026, with the Asia-Pacific region responsible for nearly 60 per cent. The data confirms a long-term shift in economic power that Australia’s politics and media remain slow to recognise.

There can be no clearer indication of just how rapidly our world is changing, than it being projected that China and India together will account for 43.6 per cent of global extra GDP growth in 2026. The Asia-Pacific region as a whole will contribute nearly 60 per cent of total global GDP extra capacity.

These percentages are extrapolated by Visual Capitalist (partial paywall) from forecast data of the International Monetary Fund.

Despite a slower growth rate compared to previous decades – predicted to be 4.2 per cent in 2026 – China’s sheer economic size will still make it the single biggest driver of global expansion. At 26.6 per cent China will power more than a quarter of the world’s GDP growth.

China’s contribution will be followed by India, with a faster growth rate (6.2 per cent) though from a lower base, which will be responsible for 17 per cent of global economic growth.

The US, projected to grow at 2.1 per cent, will represent just 9.9 per cent of........

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