Trump-Pezeshkian to ink historic Islamabad accord |
THE recent high-level visits of Premier Shehbaz Sharif to KSA, Qatar and Türkiye, alongside Field Marshal Asim Munir’s engagement with Iran, signal a coordinated and carefully calibrated effort of Islamabad to position itself as a credible mediator in one of the world’s most dangerous geopolitical flashpoints. At a time when tensions between the US and Iran threaten to destabilize not only the ME but also the broader global order, Pakistan has stepped into an increasingly visible diplomatic role. Ultimately sense has prevailed. Islamabad is hosting century’s biggest US- Iran deal in the presence of top leadership of KSA, Türkiye, France, Qatar, China, Russia and Great Britain. The clock is ticking.
The outreach to Gulf capitals—particularly KSA and Qatar—underscores Pakistan’s intent to build a consensus among key Muslim countries, while engagement with Türkiye adds weight to a broader coalition seeking stability. Direct military-level dialogue with Iran demonstrates seriousness and depth in Pakistan’s peace initiative. These visits are not ceremonial. They reflect a strategic alignment of regional diplomacy aimed at de-escalation. Pakistan, maintaining balanced relations with US and Iran, is uniquely placed to act as a bridge. Backchannel diplomacy and efforts to convert temporary ceasefires into a durable peace framework suggest that Islamabad’s role is being acknowledged internationally. In a region often defined by proxy rivalries, Pakistan’s approach appears to be one of pragmatic neutrality coupled with active engagement. Diplomatic success lies not merely in participation but in relevance. Pakistan is no longer a passive observer; it is shaping conversations.
The lifting of sanctions wouldn’t only mark diplomatic breakthrough but could also unlock substantial economic opportunities for the region. For Pakistan, revival of long-stalled Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline project stands out as a potential game changer. This pipeline, once operational, could significantly ease Pakistan’s chronic energy shortages, providing stable and relatively affordable supply of natural gas. Increased trade would benefit border economies, stimulate industrial growth and enhance regional connectivity. Possibility of importing oil from Iran at significantly reduced freight costs could directly lower domestic fuel prices in Pakistan, easing inflationary pressures and providing relief to consumers and industries alike. Beyond energy security, normalization with Iran would expand bilateral trade volumes, which have remained far below potential due to sanctions and banking restrictions.
Enhanced connectivity through Iran would provide Pakistan access to new markets in Central Asia and beyond, while also strengthening its position as a regional trade hub. In this context, peace between the United States and Iran is not merely a political objective—it is an economic necessity for long-term regional stability and development. A peaceful and economically integrated Iran could serve as a vital link in regional connectivity projects, complementing CPEC. Globally, the implications of a prolonged US-Iran conflict are deeply concerning. Any escalation risks disrupting critical oil supply routes, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant portion of the world’s oil passes. Such disruptions would trigger spikes in global energy prices, fuel inflation and potentially push fragile economies into deeper crisis.
Instability in Iran would have direct repercussions for neighbouring countries, including Pakistan and Afghanistan. Border insecurity and the rise of non-state actors are all plausible outcomes of a destabilized Iran. While these issues have their own complexities, a reduction in US-Iran hostility would likely ease proxy tensions that have fueled conflicts in these regions. It could create diplomatic space for multilateral negotiations and reduce the intensity of regional rivalries that often hinder peace processes. An equally important question is whether a US-Iran detente could pave the way for resolving other long-standing conflicts in the region, particularly in Lebanon and Palestine. Diplomatic success could translate into greater influence in international forums and improved bilateral relations with key global powers. For Pakistan, successful mediation or even a supportive role in facilitating dialogue would significantly enhance its global credibility. Stable relationship with Iran could improve Pakistan’s leverage in Afghanistan, where regional cooperation is essential for lasting peace. In contrast to Israel’s confrontational posture toward Iran, Pakistan’s emphasis on dialogue positions it as a peace-oriented state. In a comparative regional context, Pakistan’s proactive diplomacy has also provided it with a strategic edge.
Lifting of sanctions on Iran, revival of energy projects, expansion of trade and strengthening of regional connectivity could collectively transform the economic landscape of the region. Successful peace process would reduce global tensions, stabilize energy markets and open pathways for resolving other entrenched conflicts. Pakistan’s diplomatic initiatives—anchored in strategic visits, balanced engagement and a vision for regional stability—have the potential to yield significant dividends. Path to peace is neither simple nor guaranteed. Pakistan’s active and thoughtful diplomacy demonstrates that even in times of war and uncertainty, constructive engagement and regional cooperation remain the most viable routes to lasting stability and shared prosperity.
—The writer is editor, political analyst and author of several books based in Islamabad.