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Is Libya’s Khalifa Haftar Nearing Victory?

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Manish Rai | Oped Column Magazine

It’s only a matter of time when Khalifa Haftar takes over Tripoli and announces his complete military victory.

  • The EU’s new naval mission to implement the UN arms embargo will only deal with the Libyan maritime borders used primarily by the Turks to send military supplies to the GNA. On the contrary, Egypt and UAE will be able to continue sending Khalifa Haftar all the supplies from Libyan eastern border with Egypt through land route.
  • Khalifa Haftar blocked some oil terminals, depriving the Turkey-backed GNA from a revenue of close to US$4 billion, which was used primarily to buy loyalty of different GNA-allied militias.
  • Crime, insecurity and corruption have been on the rise in the western Libya, which largely falls within the GNA’s sphere of influence. This deteriorating situation could go in Haftar’s favour.

The Libyan conflict that started as a mere civil war has turned into a regional proxy war, bringing foreign powers into the equation and foreign fighters into the battlefield. The conflict has become more complicated by the day.

Already a year has passed since Khalifa Haftar-led Libyan National Army (LNA) has launched an offensive on Tripoli, which is under the control of the Government of National Accord (GNA).

Neither side has managed to make breakthroughs and gain any sizable territories. Although the LNA took the strategic coastal city of Sirte 500 km east of Tripoli in January this year, they’ve failed to make any further gains on the road to the capital.

Even if the LNA had advanced beyond its current positions west of Sirte, it would still........

© Oped Column

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