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Is Universal Childcare the Democrats’ Winning Issue This Year?

12 1
23.01.2026

This is the year that the affordability crisis ushers Democrats back into power in Congress—or so they hope. With the November midterm elections looming, the party has been hammering President Trump on everything from the cost of groceries to skyrocketing energy bills to the monthly struggle to make rent (let alone afford a down payment on a home). Democrats have proposed various solutions to these problems, but one simple, clear policy is quickly gaining popularity as a key plank in their messaging: universal childcare.

In fact, some Democrats across the country aren’t waiting for the midterms to begin implementing it. New Mexico Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham took the lead in September when she announced universal free childcare for every resident regardless of income. Since then, a number of other Democrats have picked up the mantle, including New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani—such that it’s shaping up to be a defining issue this fall.

In 45 states and Washington, D.C., the price of childcare in a day care center for two children is more than families pay in rent or on their mortgages, according to the most recent data available; the average single parent would have to spend 35 percent of their income on childcare for one child. Child Care Aware of America, a childcare advocacy and research group, found that from 2020 to 2024 the price of childcare rose 7 percent above inflation, which itself was soaring during that period. At the same time, childcare providers are some of the lowest-paid workers in the country, leaving the workforce in near poverty and chronically understaffed. It is a broken market.

These costs are a huge contributor to the affordability crisis, and at least half of voters think the government should do something. President Joe Biden had promised to cap costs for families in his Build Back Better plan—which died in the Senate, thanks to West Virginia Democrat Joe Manchin—and Vice President Kamala Harris continued the promise in her 2024 presidential campaign. Biden did change the way that federal programs........

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