Strategic Reality: The Conflict of Attrition, Ukraine Cannot Win |
There is an unavoidable military reality that Europe continues to deny, even as its own officials whisper it in private briefings and NATO commanders leak the same conclusions to any journalist willing to hear. The conflict is not merely going badly for Ukraine; it is structurally unwinnable.
Futility Magnified
The talk in Western capitals of “stalemate” or “frozen conflict” is a linguistic defense mechanism, a rhetorical shield against the truth that the front is not stabilizing — it is eroding. The lines that Western media insisted were impregnable have been bending for months under the slow, grinding pressure of Russia’s artillery-led operational doctrine. And everyone on the ground knows that when such lines begin to bend, the next stage is not stasis but rupture. The front is not collapsing in a dramatic sweep because Russia has no incentive for drama. It is collapsing inch by inch, town by town, trench by trench, until a moment will come — whether this winter or the next — when the accumulated pressure breaks through and the........