Trump’s Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the Search for a Middle East Exit Strategy

The US President Donald Trump hints at plans to expand the Abraham Accords as an exit strategy from the Iran war, along with announcing the end of the US naval blockade of Iran. This move could shift regional security to Israel, making the US less responsible.

A Diplomatic Exit Strategy Disguised as Regional Realignment

This move will also increase Israel’s role in regional security while leaving Washington no longer responsible for the security of Middle Eastern oil supplies. However, the United States will also ensure a limited share in the regional security. The move will also mark the transformation of the Abraham Accords from merely a framework centered on recognition of Israel into a broader regional security architecture, capable of substituting for US security guarantees in the Middle East while remaining backed by Washington.

Strategic Contradictions and the Logic of Separation

However, there are numerous underlying flaws with this proposal, which seem less the product of strategic planning than of President Trump’s recognition that an emerging deal with Iran cannot plausibly be presented as a victory. The central logic will be to disentangle the nuclear issue from negotiations over the reopening of........

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