Analysis | What Are Vijay's 5 Big Options Right Now? Look At Maharashtra, Bihar, And Karnataka |
May 08, 2026 14:38 pm IST
Analysis | What Are Vijay's 5 Big Options Right Now? Look At Maharashtra, Bihar, And Karnataka
Governor's 'discretion' can play a big role in what happens after an assembly election throws up a hung verdict. Here's how three states navigated this deadlock.
Jai Mrug Jai Mrug Guest Writer
Jai Mrug Guest Writer
The political situation in Tamil Nadu remains fluid, with the Governor asking the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) to demonstrate the actual numbers it has on its side to cross the halfway mark in the assembly.
These are situations where the Governor's discretion plays an important role in the ensuing elections.
Likely Scenarios In Tamil Nadu
President's Rule and one more election before the year-end: President's Rule can be extended six months at a time. So, if it is imposed with no suitable coalition forming the government, fresh elections have to be held, mostly before the year-end, to elect another assembly
The DMK and the AIADMK try to cobble up a government. The two parties together have 106 seats. They will have to show the Governor the support of every single MLA to cross the 118 mark. However, the Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) and the Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi (VCK) cannot cohabit in an alliance - just like, say, the Congress and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). Which means that the minimum possible strength of the alliance is 121, but for that, it will have to include all parties: the Congress's five MLAs, the VCK, the MUL, the CPI, and the CPM's two each, and one each of the DMDK and the AMMK. But for this, every single party leader, such as Premalatha of the DMDK and Dhinakaran of the AMMK, will have to be appeased. Such a formation will thus be a nine-party alliance.
TVK aligns with a breakaway AIADMK group. The AIADMK splits, with two-thirds of its MLAs claiming to be a new party. For this, at least 34 MLAs of the AIADMK will have to walk out of the parent party........