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25.02.2026

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John Ivison: The election temptation of Mark Carney

There is a strong chance that if Carney were to force an election without a clear purpose, he could end up back where he started

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If the only way to get rid of temptation is to yield to it, Prime Minister Mark Carney might consider visiting the Governor General in the coming weeks and asking her to dissolve Parliament.

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The latest polls are starting to show a seductive spread in his favour — both in the horse race, and as far as whom Canadians consider best prime minister.

John Ivison: The election temptation of Mark Carney Back to video

(A new Nanos poll released Tuesday has the Liberals at 41.3 per cent support, versus 33.7 per cent for the Conservatives; while Carney is viewed as preferable for prime minister by 54.3 per cent of respondents, versus 23.1 per cent in favour of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre).

There will be advisers and MPs close to Carney urging him to contrive the conditions to call a spring election. A stable majority would appear to be a foregone conclusion.

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Except, that is not how it has turned out on previous occasions when the Liberals went to voters with the proposition: “We are brilliant at running the country as a minority government, but we’d be even more brilliant if we had a........

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