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The management of the conflict in the new Sudan must lie with the people

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The conflict in Sudan has not ended with the fall of ousted President Omar Al-Bashir. This is actually the beginning of a new phase of the conflict within this large country and its complex political and demographic makeup. It is a clash between opposing internal and external forces. In such conflicts as this, which arise in the confusing transitional stages, the most powerful yet also the weakest link appears to be the Sudanese people, including those active in the opposition and representatives of the protests and their participants.

The people are the most powerful now because it is they who have made the change which led to the overthrow of the regime. Hence, they are the main actors that everyone wants to please, at least at the moment. However, they may turn into the weakest link if they are unable to form a solid core that creates a political environment capable of sustainable influence during the transition and beyond.

Activists amongst the Sudanese people will be mistaken if they rely solely on the current popular momentum. Experience with the Arab and other revolutions suggests that such momentum cannot last forever. Those who are best organised are the ones who can define the future once people go back to their daily lives. The only guarantee — if such a thing exists — is to transform the popular momentum into a strong and organised political movement capable of confronting and managing conflicts with the most powerful forces both domestically and abroad.

The first stage of the conflict over the new Sudan is between forces representing the protestors and the political opposition on the one hand, and the deep state, which is partially expressed by the Transitional Military Council, on the other. When we talk about internal conflict, what is meant is not a conflict between enemies, but domestic differences over the visions for the future of the state. The basic requirement is to develop a united vision shared by the protest movement and the opposition in order to be able to have maximum influence on the council. Any delay in this respect will complicate matters, leaving the future dependent on the more powerful party, which is the military.

READ: Sudan’s........

© Middle East Monitor