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Tories are eyeing up an early 2023 election – but it could be a dangerous move

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08.06.2021

When the Boundary Commission review dropped this week, it focused MPs’ minds. The changes – which will see England gain 10 additional seats – had been talked up as a big boon for the Tories. However, with the south to get more seats and the north less, it’s unclear whether the proposed changes will really boost Boris Johnson. The Prime Minister has banked his success on a political realignment which has so far seen Tory gains in former Labour heartlands concentrated away from their traditional southern heartlands.

“It’s the review we needed 10 years ago,” muses one Tory MP. It’s also the case that there are enough Conservative heavy hitters – including Defence Secretary Ben Wallace and Education Secretary Gavin Williamson – at risk of losing their seats, that it has led to increased chatter over when the next election will be. It’s being talked up by some Tories as another reason to go to the polls early in spring of 2023 – before the changes come into effect.

Since the Government confirmed its plans to axe the Fixed-term Parliaments Act in last month’s Queen’s Speech, speculation has been building that the party will opt to go to the polls a year early. The reasons are multi-fold. Aside from concerns over the effect of the boundary review, the theory goes that 2023 would provide the best possible........

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