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Will SP-BSP alliance be a potential game-changer?

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The most anticipated political event after the five-state elections, including the three Hindi heartland states, has taken place: it is the alliance between the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) in Uttar Pradesh. What does the alliance mean for the BJP and why it is significant for the next general elections? The answer is obvious: UP is the largest state in India with 80 Lok Sabha seats and it’s an indisputable fact that whoever wins UP usually rules India. In other words, if you lose UP badly, you cannot rule India. This has been proved in several general elections in the past, including 2014 when BJP swept UP with 71 seats (73 in alliance with Apna Dal). Arithmetically, UP played a significant role in propelling BJP to power in Delhi.

Therefore, the coming together of SP and BSP could be a bad news for the BJP because it could possibly prove to be game changer in 2019 Lok Sabha polls. The emergence of a new political combine in UP will not only dent the political might of the ruling dispensation, it is also a reminder to the BJP that the same forces which had humbled the party in 1993 assembly elections after it managed to ride to power in 1991 on the back of Ayodhya movement, are back to challenge its political supremacy once again 25 years later. This could send ominous signals to the BJP which rules UP and has seen the demonstration of the dominance of the SP-BSP combine when the alliance defeated the BJP in four successive by-elections in 2018, that include the bastions of chief minister Yogi Adiyanath and deputy........

© Free Press Journal