The Bottlenecks Slowing Down AI Performance

AI’s cavalcade of constraints. Uncovering a lost sacred manuscript. Why it’s okay to drink a little coffee before bed. All that and more in this week’s edition of The Prototype. To get it in your inbox, sign up here.

Anthropic’s Claude models are putting out faulty code right now, according to my colleague Thomas Fox-Brewster. And it’s not just code, either. Many customers are complaining about what they see as degradations in the AI company’s models – products that once performed at a high level are slowly becoming worse. These echo similar complaints you can find in Reddit forums about models from Google and OpenAI, too.

One likely suspect here is capacity. Simply put, the more tokens an AI model uses, the better outputs it’s likely to produce – but that also uses more computing power. And that’s increasingly constrained as a growing number of users adopt AI for different applications. This is why it’s hard to see a week go by without news of a new data center deal – tech companies need more processors to meet customer demand. It’s also likely one reason why companies are increasingly moving to usage-based pricing for their AI products.

And therein lies a big problem. Building new data centers is also increasingly constrained. Last week, Ars Technica reported that there are major delays in building many announced data centers, some of which haven’t even begun construction. They’re also increasingly unpopular and their plans are frequently challenged by local communities.

One big reason for that unpopularity is the cost of energy. Data centers use a lot of it, and supply isn’t keeping up with demand, especially since the Trump administration has tried to block multiple renewable energy projects. (Though a recent court decision put a halt to some of that.) This energy problem is only being exacerbated by the Iran war, which is pushing up the cost of natural gas used for electricity.

There are ways out of all of these constraints: solar and wind power are cheap. New, efficient chips are being developed for AI that use less electricity. But with geopolitical turmoil hiking prices and disrupting supply chains while policy changes hold back new........

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