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Terence Corcoran: Central bankers drop ‘Odyssean’ forward guidance

23 0
05.08.2026

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Terence Corcoran: Central bankers drop ‘Odyssean’ forward guidance

What will markets do without Odysseus to guide them?

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For a couple of decades the Bank of Canada, the United States Federal Reserve and other central banks have been using “forward guidance” in their public communications to help financial markets figure out where interest rates are going. But not any more, according to the latest statements by central bankers such as Kevin Warsh, the new Trump-appointed Fed Chairman.

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What does this shift in policy mean? Unfortunately, economic papers on monetary policy tend to run to 50-or-more dense pages of economic jargon, graphs and equations that make forward guidance merits and problems near impossible to analyze or explain.

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One bit of jargon may help, however. In an 80-page paper in 2012, Chicago Federal Reserve members described one form of forward guidance as Odyssean.........

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