The Limits Of European Strategic Autonomy – OpEd |
Europe is entering a moment of renewed strategic doubt. Conversations about security that once seemed theoretical have taken on a sharper edge as uncertainty grows about America’s long-term role, the direction of the war in Ukraine, and the resilience of Europe’s own defense capabilities. Leaders say that they recognize the need for greater self-reliance, yet their response remains uneven. The result is a widening gap between intention and action at a time when the international security environment is becoming more fragile.
The latest test came during the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Brussels on December 3. European officials gathered amid ongoing concerns over sustained support for Ukraine and hybrid threats from Russia. The meeting reaffirmed priorities including boosting defense production and aid to Kyiv, while underscoring the commitment made earlier at the Hague Summit to a credible path toward 5 percent of GDP in defense and security-related spending by 2035, which is far beyond the old 2 percent target.
Ukraine’s position has become more challenging. Intense fighting continues near the Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad axis, with Russian infiltration attempts and pressure on the front lines reinforcing Kyiv’s message that it needs more air-defense systems before winter further restricts mobility. Ukrainian commanders deny Russian claims of full capture or encirclement, but acknowledge the heightened intensity. Germany’s contributions, including additional Patriot systems in 2025, have been welcomed, but they also highlight Europe’s limited overall capacity. Ammunition and spare parts production continues to lag........