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Tough times ahead for the Kurds in Syria

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Whether it be the U.S., Russia, Iran or the Syrian regime, all seem to want to re-settle the Syrian Kurds. While American’s policy is open-ended, it is also murky. An example of this came when Congress failed to determine the amount of aid the U.S. would provide to its partners fighting against ISIS in the defence budget for 2020, leaving it to the Secretary of Defence.

General Commander of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) Mazloum Abdi said the U.S. commanders wished to remain in the region to pursue eight particular goals. Amongst these are: combating ISIS, safeguarding oil, controlling the air space, training and supporting the SDF and promoting civilian projects. Yet none provide an truly convincing explanation as to why the U.S. remains in the region. Mazlum Abdi contends the U.S. is staying put due to the new equilibrium that has been formed.

My humble idea is that a certain scheme is underway. Such a scheme would provide Israel’s security in spite of Trump’s erratic behaviour. Within the framework of this design, Iran could be undermined and Syria would be compelled to change its camp. The practical aspects of this setup have to do with monitoring Iranian moves and interfere when necessary. It has also to do with depriving Syria of its natural resources. The U.S.’s engagement with the Kurds is constrained by its partnership with Turkey. When faced with the question of siding with the Kurds or a NATO ally, the choice is always Turkey. As Secretary of Defense Mark Esper stated there was no deal that “allows us to conduct military operations in support of the Kurds against the Turks, a 70-year NATO ally.”

In October, the U.S. gave the green light to the “Peace Spring Operation”, allowing Turkey to take over the north of Syria. They have passed on the burden of curbing Turkey’s advances to Russia. The U.S. has now drawn a new zone of tutelage for themselves: from Al-Malikiyah on the shore of Tigris, to Al-Qahtaniyah and Qamishli, and from there to roads leading to Al Hasakah and Deir ez Zor.

Accordingly, they will build military bases and deploy armed troops there. One of the U.S.’s priorities is to keep the Semalka border crossing open for logistic passing. It is a crossing Turkey wishes to capture in order to block circulation and transports from North Kurdistan and Rojava. In this route, there are facilities in which ISIS members are held. In parallel to this deployment, the U.S. is also paving the way for the SDF to build ties with Gulf countries.

The SDF maintains relationships with Abu Dhabi and Riyadh. Do such ties have anything........

© Duvar English