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Abolish the Debt Ceiling. Do It Now

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27.09.2021

In a political system beset by many stupid and destructive institutions, the statutory limit on federal debt might be the worst. The debt limit:

Given all of this, the debt ceiling should be abolished or neutralized in absolutely any way politically possible. It serves no good economic purpose and plenty of malign ones. Below we expand on these points.

Either Congress or the Biden administration needs to do future policymakers a huge favor and render the debt ceiling moot forevermore. It’s already done enough damage.

Overview of the debt ceiling

The U.S. Treasury draws on banking accounts at the Federal Reserve to fund federal governmental activities—remitting paychecks to federal government employees, sending Social Security checks, reimbursing doctors for treating Medicare-covered patients, paying defense contractors and interest to bondholders, and so on. These accounts are fed on an ongoing basis by both tax revenues and the proceeds from selling bonds (debt). But, because the United States has a statutorily imposed limit of how much outstanding debt is allowed, once this limit is reached on issuing new debt, Treasury can no longer sell bonds and deposit these proceeds, and hence accounts at the Federal Reserve will dwindle as they are only now fed by ongoing taxes, which are insufficient to cover all spending. This limit is being rapidly reached and by mid-October (current guesstimate) the Treasury accounts will be too small to finance that day’s governmental activities.

The debt ceiling measures no coherent economic indicator

The statutory debt ceiling is a completely arbitrary value—there has never been any economic justification for any of its historical values and it is raised (or suspended periodically) purely based on congressional whim. It is not indexed for inflation, even as federal government payments (like Social Security checks) are so indexed.

Further, it measures gross debt, which includes debt the federal government owes itself. The biggest difference between the debt held by public and gross debt is the Social Security Trust Fund (SSTF). To help pre-fund the now-arrived retirement of the Baby Boomer generation, for years the Social Security system taxed current workers more than what was needed to pay current beneficiaries. The surplus was credited to the SSTF. As dedicated Social Security revenues fall a bit short of benefits in coming decades, the system (as designed) will draw down the SSTF.

But this means that in those years that saw the SSTF rise, this actually inflated measures of gross debt. And it means, for example, that proposals to narrow the long-run actuarial shortfall of the Social Security system would actually see us hit the federal debt limit sooner. How can that make sense?

Finally,........

© Common Dreams


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