Strategic analysts who study political destabilisation in South Asia have, over the last four years, watched a script unfold three times in three different countries- Sri Lanka in 2022, Bangladesh in 2024 and Nepal in 2025. Each began as an organic youth movement against a genuine grievance. Each was amplified by social media in a manner that suggested coordination beyond what spontaneous frustration usually produces. Each ended in regime change, with consequences that often hurt the very people the movement claimed to represent. The Cockroach Janta Party (CJP), launched in India on 16 May 2026, follows the early stages of the same script with unsettling fidelity.

This is not a claim that every Indian who has clicked ‘follow’ on the CJP Instagram page is part of a foreign conspiracy. Some of the grievances being expressed are real such as unemployment and examination paper leaks. Butthe question is not about the genuineness of these frustrations. The question is about why, when these frustrations exist in many countries, the specific architecture by which they are mobilised has begun to look uncomfortably similar across South Asia.

Sri Lanka’s Aragalaya movement of 2022 began as a protest against an economic crisis. It ended with the storming of the President’s House, the resignation of Gotabaya Rajapaksa, and an extended period of political instability that did not solve the economic problems but did rearrange the country’s political map. American influence in shaping the post-Rajapaksa political order was the subject of considerable analytical writing in the months that followed.

Bangladesh in........

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