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Mark Mellman, Opinion ContributorThe Hill |
The lesson is clear. Question wording can have a substantial impact on responses, with complex or confusing wording yielding inaccurate results and...
Donald Trump, hardly known as a scholar of Christian scripture, is now hawking Bibles. It is a strange story that sums up an important reality in...
President Biden’s approval rating actually increased by 2 points in the wake of this SOTU, better than the average increase of zero.
President Biden delivered a great speech, galvanizing Democrats, demonstrating he’s still at the top of his game, giving his troops talking points...
Predicting general election outcomes from primary results is a fool’s errand. The next redoubt of those scouring the tea leaves provided by primary...
Beliefs are persistent, stubborn things. People fancy themselves open to new information and diverse perspectives, and sometimes we are. But mostly,...
Why do these candidates so frequently postpone their reckoning with reality for so long? While each has his or her own psychology, from my experience...
Interpreting poll results requires strict fealty to the parameters of the questions’ wording. Trying to measure complex concepts with one or two...
Support for Donald Trump was forged by partisanship and held in place by a combination of that partisanship and people’s reluctance to change their...
People like world peace and ceasefires. But public policy involves tradeoffs and conflicting values. Understanding how voters make the tradeoffs...
Two different questions—both seemingly reasonable—yielding opposite forecasts. How is that possible?
In short, be careful interpreting crosstabs, and even more important, don’t plan a campaign strategy around applying conventional wisdom to the...
Mixing the three P’s of politics together — partisanship, polarization and parity — makes for a bitter brew.
Winning a candidate debate is not tantamount to winning an election, nor should it be. You’ve heard that these debates can generate a “surge,”...
Hamas could quickly protect Gaza’s civilians and dramatically improve their lives by taking a simple set of actions: Surrender unconditionally, free...
It’s frankly not the central issue, but debate has swirled around whether Gazans, and Palestinians more broadly, support Hamas. Some American...
Casual “Fauda” watchers, not steeped in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, might not have even noticed the scene. But it’s central to...
Nine United Nation staff members have been killed by Israeli airstrikes in Gaza since Saturday, the UN's agency for Palestinian refugees confirmed...
I’m certain I disagree with Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-S.D.) on scores of issues, but he seems like a reasonable, thoughtful, somewhat moderate fellow...
The TV pundits seem to have gotten it wrong. For months they’ve been haranguing Republican presidential candidates for their collective failure...
With the Hollywood strike apparently near settlement, and the auto strike continuing, Republicans like Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) are channeling Ronald...
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