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AKP’s chances in the local elections

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The Turkish President and head of the Justice and Development Party (AKP), Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and the leader of the Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), Devlet Bahceli, succeeded in rescuing the People’s Alliance, an electoral alliance, from disintegration. The two parties reached understandings whereby each of them makes concessions to the ally in some cities by not nominating two candidates for each city in order for the parties to back the other’s candidate.

Bahceli announced on 24 November that the MHP would not nominate anyone to head the municipalities of Istanbul, Ankara and Izmir in the local elections, but would instead support the AKP candidates. Meanwhile, Erdogan said that the AKP would not nominate candidates for some cities in order to support the MHP candidates, without actually naming these cities. The cities are expected to be announced in the near future, after another meeting is held between Erdogan and Bahceli.

Reviving the People’s Alliance has increased the chances of the AKP candidates in the three aforementioned major cities. Before the alliance, the chance for an AKP candidate to win in Istanbul and Ankara was equal to their chance of losing, if not less. However, now, we can say........

© Middle East Monitor