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European Parliament will be split, but not hostage to nationalists

20 8 1

Analysis. The far right, loud but fractured, will make only modest gains in the European Parliament in May elections, according to a massive new survey compiled by Kantar Public, occupying a quarter of the seats.

written by Anna Maria Merlo

Topic European Union


February 20, 2019

As we cross the 100-day mark in the countdown to the European elections May 23-26, the results of the largest European public opinion survey so far, compiled by Kantar Public on behalf of the European Parliament, can be read with some optimism, although not for Italy in particular.

Indeed, Steve Bannon’s dream of building a nationalist majority that would be hostile to European integration will not be realized: of course, the Lega will make gains, and one of the current three far-right groups, the ENF, will substantially increase its numbers, with a forecast of 22 more parliamentarians (from the current 37 to a predicted 59), largely on account of the Lega, which is projected to gain the largest number of seats in Italy and the second-largest in the EU, and Marine Le Pen’s National Rally. However, this gain, taking the ENF to 8 percent, will be offset by the stagnation or decline of the other two far-right groups.

One of them, the ECR, will have to contend with the absence of the British Conservatives, while the other, the EFDD, where the M5S sits, will suffer from the absence of the UKIP, and might even dissolve altogether if the Italians and the German AfD decide to join other groups.

Overall, the........

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