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The idea of regime change in Iran is delusional

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In the immediate aftermath of US President Donald Trump's announcement on May 8 that the US is unilaterally withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal much wishful thinking about "regime change" in Iran surfaced in the global news.

The tone for this prattle was set by a major speech that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo delivered at the Heritage Foundation in Washington on May 21. In the speech, Pompeo outlined 12 specific demands for Iran, which in effect would amount to its complete capitulation to the imperial wishes of the United States and its colonial sidekick, Israel.

Following the US cue like clockwork, a "former top Mossad official" named Haim Tomer told The Jerusalem Post that "Israel, the US and Saudi Arabia can all secretly help to advance regime change in Iran". Well, how is this "regime change" exactly to happen? Pray, do tell.

"I am not saying it will be a piece of cake - The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Basiji militias are very strong. But… even if regime change does not succeed… it is better to have the Iranians fighting among themselves," Tomer said.

That last sentence is, of course, the key issue here: the more Muslims get to kill each other and dismantle their own polities, the stronger the European garrison state built in Palestine would be. Right? Well, let's see now.

Aside from such "ex-Mossad" characters or Islamophobe hawks like Mike Pompeo, the issue of "regime change in Iran" goes way back, much before the Israeli-Saudi-instigated Trump violation of the Iran nuclear deal. Mark Dubowitz, CEO of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), and his FDD buddy Reuel Marc Gerecht have for the longest time argued that "the goal should be regime change in Iran, not stopping proliferation." This Gerecht character is even more rabid than Dubowitz; by his own account, he has "written about 25,000 words about bombing Iran. Even my mom thinks I've gone too far."

Soon after Pompeo issued his list of demands for Iran to do as he wishes, more sensible voices have come out one by one dismantling the options that such a delusional "regime change" might entail.

In an excellent piece for the CNN, William D Hartung has asked precisely how the US-Israeli-Saudi alliance might wish to implement this "regime change" in Iran. "Pompeo's threat to bring Iran to its knees with punishing economic sanctions," Hartung pointed out, "clearly won't get the job done, especially since the Trump administration has just alienated its most important potential partners by withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal."

The next fantasy this open plot against Iran espouses is to have the discredited cult of the Mujahideen-e-Khalq (MEK) traitors do the job for the US and its Saudi-Zionist alliance. In response to this fanciful proposition, Hartung rightly says, "to think that an organization that the New York Times has rightly described as a 'fringe dissident group' could overthrow the government of Iran is a fantasy."

So, most people can clearly see that neither direct military action by the US, nor any fancy footwork in conjunction with Israel and Saudi Arabia is likely to dismantle the ruling regime in Iran. That leaves only the lunatic fringe of the Trump administration, led by Rudi........

© Al Jazeera